Archive for October, 2009

Pound Sterling Maintains Advance in Forex Trading

Tuesday, October 20th, 2009

British pound in currency trading

The sterling is managing to hold its gains in forex trading on the currency market today.

The forex trading, U.S. dollar, Fujii, stock market, risk trade”
U.K. pound has been wavering due to economic data coming out of Great Britain. However, the pound sterling is managing to maintain it’s price in the usd/gbp pair due to USD weakness.

Indeed, a flagging u.s. dollar against the JPY & Euro zone currencies continues this week.

Comments from Japanese minister Fujii are creating issues, while European jawboning hasn’t helped the dollar.

The strength in the pound and the ‘risk trade’ is continuing as the stock market surges and investors seek alpha.

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Chinese Say That They Will Reach 8% Growth This Year

Tuesday, October 20th, 2009

U.S. dollar weakens in currency trading

The U.S. dollar is weakening in currency trading on the FX market as economic news comes in from a variety of corners. Of particular interest right now is the fact that China is saying that it will hit its yearly economic growth goal.

So far, China claims, its economy has gown 7% this year. The target of 8% was set earlier this year, and it is no surprise that the Chinese are strictly adhering to the rhetoric that the goal of 8% economic growth will be met by the end of the year.

Also of interest to the U.S. dollar is the fact that Federal Reserve Chair Ben Bernanke has been avoiding monetary policy talk. His speech yesterday in San Francisco did not mention it. However, there are hopes that he will address the subject today.

Bernanke’s take on the economy is becoming increasingly important, as some analysts, notably those at Barrons, claim that the U.S. economy is in a position to handle 2% interest rates, and that it is time to hike. The Fed has indicated dovishness in the past, so it will be interesting to see if Bernanke responds to this challenge.

See Also

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US Dollar Benefits from Risk Aversion but still far from a Trend Reversal

Tuesday, October 20th, 2009

•    British Pound Traders Look Ahead to BoE Minutes to Help Revive Currency’s Rally
•    Canadian Dollar Tumbles after BoC Rate Decision as Officials Repeat Concerns over the Currency
•    Australian Dollar Bolstered by Yet another Upgrade on the RBA’s Hawkish Policy Stance

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US Dollar, Japanese Yen Down as DJIA Hits Fresh 2009 Highs

Tuesday, October 20th, 2009

• US Dollar, Japanese Yen Down as DJIA Hits Fresh 2009 Highs
• Euro Consolidates Below 1.4965
• British Pound Fails to Break Above Trendline Resistance
• Canadian Dollar Gains as Foreign Investment Climbs, Ahead of Bank of Canada’s Rate Decision

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AUDNZD Still Offering Range Opportunities Despite RBA’s Increasingly Hawkish Tone

Tuesday, October 20th, 2009

Is it better to fight fundamental or technical trends? What if the fundamental bias is defined by the RBA warning the market of its intentions to hike and clearly defining its tolerance for further rate hikes while the chart is offering up a five-month descending trend channel with heavy reinforcement from resistance?

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Daily Pivot Points

Tuesday, October 20th, 2009

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Crude Rallies an Eighth Session along with Equities

Tuesday, October 20th, 2009

Crude has extended its impressive rally to fresh yearly highs for an eighth consecutive day. This is run is now one bullish close short of matching the recent record-setting advance between July 15th and 23rd – though the current bull wave is far more intense than its predecessor with a 13.6 percent climb.

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Swiss Offshore Banking Demystified

Tuesday, October 20th, 2009

Swiss offshore banking has a solid reputation due to its long history as a centre for wealth management, asset protection, tax-advantaged investment and of course bank secrecy.

Its bankers are regarded as some of the most trustworthy and experienced in the world.

It also has some of the strictest bank secrecy laws. These state that someone who shares someone’s private financial information without a court order are subject to fines and jail time. Bank secrecy should not be lifted in cases of tax evasion (e.g.non-reporting), only in those of tax fraud (e.g. willfully forged documents). However it is up to a judge to decide on a case by case basis into which category a dispute falls.

Swiss Bank Secrecy Law

Swiss bank secrecy has existed since 1934, when the custom of client confidentiality was written into the legal code by the Swiss Banking Act. Banking secrecy principles include statutorily enforced privacy. The Swiss law strictly prohibts sharing others’ information with third parties, including the tax man, governments, or even the authorities in Switzerland themselves, with the exception of when requested (via subpoena) by a Swiss judge.

But, banking secrecy in Switzerland will not be upheld in bankruptcy or divorce cases where legal requests for information will be honored. In other criminal matters such as money laundering and terrorism bank secrecy may also be breached.

EU Savings Tax Directive

Switzerland is part of the EU Savings Tax Directive, which requires overseas savings interest to be declared among participant countries. Foreign Swiss account holders who are affected by this law (EU nationals) have the choice of declaring their offshore bank account or letting their Swiss bank deduct a 35% withholding tax at source. These taxes are then redistributed by the Swiss government, leaving privacy intact.

Numbered Accounts

Numbered accounts are those which carry a number rather than name to identify the account holder when transactions are made. In early summer of 2004 “AML”, or anti-money laundering laws were enacted that effectively ended these accounts, at least as they had been previously organized. These bank accounts now require complete identification b?? Banks in Switzerland are required to adhere to “know you customer” KYC rules as laid out in Basel II and complete all necessary due diligence on their prospective clients.

Wealth Management and Portfolio Management

It is not easy to get a Swiss bank account with a private Swiss banker. These accounts will start at around 500,000 USD, and you must turn up in Switzerland in person to open one. If you have a substantial amount to invest you may even get a managed portfolio where your own private banker manages your funds according to your instructions or guidelines to balance risk, security and liquidity with maximum returns.

Concerns over the Safety of Swiss Offshore Banking

Swiss bank accounts and Swiss offshore banking have made headlines over the undeclared accounts of US citizens held at global banks UBS and Credit Suisse. The Swiss government has allowed bank secrecy to be pierced in a small number of cases judged to be tax fraud.

These banks made it possible for such problems to occur by opening branches in the US and thus making themselves subject to US law. As a result accounts at large banks such as these with branches in your home country are not viable options if you are looking for confidential offshore banking. Swiss bank secrecy is still completely applicabel to those banks which have been wise enough to limit their exposure to the borders of Swizterland, and in such cases there is no change. People that violate the bank secrecy laws face imprisonment, and banks are liable for damages.

Another concern have been the persistent rumors that the Central Intelligence Agency and United States Treasury have tapped into the SWIFT, or interbank electronic network used for clearing international financial transactions, seriously compromising bank secrecy. Of coure, any information obtained in such a covert manner could not be used in a court of law, however, the fact that this information may be exposed has been very concerning to privacy experts and those concerned with the growth and overreach of governments.

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The RBS Bonus Bonanza

Monday, October 19th, 2009

The Royal Bank of Scotland is set to dish out record bonuses of up to £5m

While these numbers sound especially outrageous, taxpayers were heartened to learn that the bonuses of millions of pounds would only be available for the top 20 staff in the bank, the other employees of the struggling, functionally insolvent institution would only receive on average around 1/4 million pounds, brought down by including cleaning staff, the lunch room attendants, and delivery boys.

The pay packages in the investment banking division total  £4 billion — easily surpassing those packages awarded at the high of the absurdity of the  financial boom in 2007 and about 66% higher than those paid last year.

By a totally unrelated coincidence, RBS had to be rescued from financial collapse by the British taxpayers, and US taxpayers, courtesy of the AIG slight of hand with an injection of more than £20 billion.

The taxpayer now holds a 70% stake in the bank. Large bonuses will put RBS on a collision course with UK Financial Investments, which oversees taxpayers’ investments in banks. In a completely novel concept they’ve decided to let those that actually own an institution decide how much the employees make in compensation.

The RBS bonuses are the latest sign that either we’ve learned absolutely nothing or the piglets are looting in an ever frenzied pace to get all they can before the ultimate collapse of everything.  In a miraculous turn of events the geniuses at the banks that have survived the financial crisis are now making huge profits in areas such as debt and currency trading, where free money, loaned with virtually no interest and inside information on rate moves and currency announcements have created trading opportunities.

Some traders in specialised areas are making bigger profits than before because of the chaos created by the collapse. After a series of forced mergers, there are also fewer competitors in a number of areas, allowing the banks to charge clients higher fees.

The bank has already provoked anger over a bonus package of nearly £10m for Stephen Hester, its chief executive, which he will earn if he turns round the bank. Hester has said in recent interviews that even his parents think he is paid too much.

Paul Myners, the City minister, has written to the boards of all the banks operating in Britain and reminded them that they should hold on to their cash to build up reserves, rather than hand it over to their executives and traders.

Lloyds Banking Group, which is 43% owned by taxpayers, has been working on plans for a multi-million-pound incentive programme for its top managers.

Last week Goldman Sachs, the American bank, which employs 5,500 people in London, announced that its staff would share about £13 billion in pay and bonuses.

Even banks that have lost money are believed to be considering enormous payouts to some of their senior investment bankers. Bank of America Merrill Lynch, which revealed a quarterly loss of more than £600m last week, is believed to be preparing to make big bonus payouts to staff in its London operations.

(note: you really wouldn’t believe some of the paragraphs that i just took out of this story as they ran a laundry list of banks and their bonus schemes coming up…you also probably wouldn’t believe how much of this story is left exactly as printed.)

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Citi, JPM, Wells: Capital Requirements are ’so Great Depression I’

Saturday, October 17th, 2009

Oct. 16 (Bloomie) — C(sh)itigroup Inc., JPMorgan Chase & Co. and Wells Fargo & Co. told U.S. regulators that raising capital requirements next year would be lame, and argued that lending and the economic recovery would be harmed.

Banks need three years to continue the farce of solvency until I can complete my looting operation and parchute out of this mess and retire to someplace with umbrellas in the drinks, Citigroup Chief Financial Officer John Gerspach said yesterday in a letter to regulators. Requiring banks to “assume the risk-based capital effects immediately, or even over one year, is so Great Depression I,” he wrote.

Previousy asleep at the wheel regulators, including the Federal Reserve and the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. asked if anyone had a good comeback for the diss in Gerspach’s letter and hether to give him more time to stuff his pockets before the whole system imploded. The rule passed in May by the fasb eliminates off-balance-sheet trusts known as Qualifying Special Purpose Entities, forcing banks to move billions of dollars of assets and liabilities onto their books.  Fortunately for the banks, no one bothered to tighten up the rules on what constituted an ‘asset’.  However, not satisfied with the unbelievably lax standards and obviously fraudulent asset pricing now going on with unperforming loans, JP Morgan weighed in on behalf of the banks as well.

The capital requirements “will have a significant and negative impact on our ability to leverage up to the hilt again in a purposefully fraudulent ponzi pyramid, and leave the taxpayer holding the bag again,” said the letter from JPMorgan, the New York-based bank that this week reported its biggest quarterly profit since the subprime-mortgage market collapsed in 2007 – a totally coincidental occurance.

“We strongly support a longer phase-in period for the rule changes.  The longer we kick the can down the road, the more looting we can do, and the deeper we put the serf class down where he belongs,” according to JPMorgan’s letter, which was signed by Managing Director Adam Gilbert. The change would take effect for annual reports after Nov. 15.

‘We’ll Take Our Ball and Go Home’

The rule “could lead to the result that the banks will have to actually maintain safeguards against blowing up, like actual capital, and loan loss reserves.  In fact, every $1 billion of additional capital held from newly consolidated assets ‘crowds out’ more than $15 billion in loans.  In other words, if you don’t play by our rules, we’ll take our ball — you know, the one that you gave us when you robbed the treasury and gave us several trillion dollars – and we’ll go home,” Paul Ackerman, Wells Fargo’s treasurer, wrote in a letter yesterday to the Fed, FDIC, Office of the Comptroller of the Currency and Office of Thrift Supervision.

“That sort of fear mongering will definately get the attention of politicians,” said Robert Willens, a former managing director at Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc., who now runs his own tax and accounting advisory firm in New York.  “Hell, who in their right mind would politick for living responsibly within your means.  It’s been shown time and again that that issue is a loser with the voters.”

Citigroup, the New York-based bank that yesterday reported a third-quarter profit of $101 million, argued that bringing off-balance vehicles onto its books would lead to responsible lending and the probability that the sort of thing that happened the last few years would never happen again, Citigroup said.

“Hey, it took us 80 years to get rid of Glass-Steagal,” Gerspach wrote.  “Why on God’s green earth would we want that kind of responsible, boring, banking again when we have 300 million serfs and their progeny who will pay for our mistakes when we blow up. Look if you need something to tell the serfs, tell them that we’ll cut off their credit cards, and jimmy’s school loan programs.  That should do it.”

Citigroup spokesman Stephen Cohen and JPMorgan spokesman Brian Marchiony declined to comment beyond the content of the letters. Julia Tunis Bernard, a spokeswoman for San Francisco- based, also declined to comment.

Poo’ed Loans

Lenders booked ‘profits’, before reality caught up with the U.S. subprime mortgage market, by selling ‘pooled’ loans (aka poo’ed loans) to off-balance-sheet trusts, which repackaged them into mortgage-backed securities. Despite the haunting similarity to what Enron pulled in the first part of this decade, no one could imagine that these would go wrong.  Banks sold those securities to other off-balance-sheet vehicles they sponsored, concealing from investors that the securities were backed by deteriorating home loans.  After all, concealment, lies, fraud, hey, isn’t that what accountants are supposed to do for investors?

Luckily, a massive effort by the Federal Reserve and other ‘regulators’ have covered this turd for another couple of months before the mess blows sky high and Americans are forced to live within their means.  Despite multiple inquiries we were unable to get any banks to go on the record on the rumor that they are attempting to avoid the pain of coming clean with their loan books until after dec 21, 2012 on the off chance that the Mayans were right.

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